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Permanent Monitoring Panel -
Missile Proliferation and Defence

Members of Panel:

R.A. Mason (UK)

Andrei Piontkovsky (Russia)

Mario Alessi (Italy); Gregory Canavan (USA);  Reiner K. Huber (Germany);  Qian Jiadong (China);  Willis Stanley (USA);  Vitalii Tsygichko (Russia);  Henning Wegener (Spain)

Summary of the Emergency

The threat of proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and missile delivery systems poses one of the most significant threats to international security today. An effective response to this emergency demands the greatest possible international co-operation to develop an effective response. However, despite some recent positive moves, there is a genuine risk of declining East-West co-operation that could endanger efforts to combat proliferation.

The 1997 Founding Act between NATO and Russia identified areas for co-operation to enhance security and mutual confidence. In particular, the Act calls for co-operation on

" preventing the proliferation of nuclear, biological and chemical weapons, and their delivery means, combating nuclear trafficking and strengthening co-operation in specific arms control areas, including political and defence aspects of proliferation. "

The Act further notes the possibility of NATO-Russian co-operation on theatre missile defence (TMD). The development of a European TMD system could create a precedent for adaptation in other regions of the world. Identification of this emergency and a co-operative solution reinforces the need for, and points towards, a new global security paradigm for the 21st Century based on the concept of mutually assured protection (MAP) rather than mutually assured destruction (MAD).

(Click here for a complete definition of this emergency)

Priorities in dealing with the Emergency

The Permanent Monitoring Panel (PMP) on Missile Proliferation and Defence will monitor the following issues:

Furthermore, the PMP will provide an informal channel for experts to exchange views and make recommendations regarding international co-operation on theatre missile defence.

Workshop and Meeting Reports

From December 1997 to April 1998 the PMP analysed the following relevant factors:

  • developments and attitudes on TMD co-operation in Russia
  • developments and attitudes on TMD co-operation in the US Government
  • developments and attitudes in NATO
  • Western TMD programmes
  • missile proliferation developments
  • components of a co-operative NATO-Russia TMD system

A PMP Seminar was held in Erice, Italy, from 4-9 April 1998 at which members presented monitoring reports and exchanged data with industry representatives active on Theatre Missile Defence (TMD).

The results of the April 1998 PMP Seminar were presented to the World Federation of Scientists at its annual interdisciplinary International Seminar on Planetary Emergencies, held at Erice from 19-24 August 1998, and further reports and papers were appended.

The Proceedings have been published as:

Missile Proliferation and Defence - PMP Proceedings Volume 1
August 1998: World Federation of Scientists, Lausanne, Switzerland.

Special Recommendations

The Permanent Monitoring Panel, in a workshop held at Erice from 4th to 8th April 1998, issued a three-part statement calling for the opening of a dialogue between Russia and Nato on the regional defence of Europe, and the initiation of discussions in order to achieve mutual understanding and co-operation.